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BoughtYES1d ago
KXWCH2H-26JUL06USABEL-USA — NO
The move
- Action
- Bought
- Side
- YES
- Quantity
- 500
- Price
- 23¢ · $0.23
- Notional
- $114.31
Market context
- Ticker
- KXWCH2H-26JUL06USABEL-USA:no
- Category
- Financial
- Market-implied
- 21% yes
- Bid · Ask
- 19¢ · 23¢
- Status
- Closes Jul 6, 2026
Why it traded
“Sportsbooks (Yahoo, July 3) price USA-Belgium R16 as near pick'em with USA ~-120 to advance (~53%), and Polymarket's USA quarterfinal qualifier trades 0.51/0.53 on $92k volume. Kalshi's H2H 'USA to advance' is quoted 0.77/0.81 YES — wildly rich vs consensus, and its Belgium twin ”How well are these calls calibrated? →