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BoughtYES19d ago
Clacton By-Election Winner: Nigel Farage
The move
- Action
- Bought
- Side
- YES
- Quantity
- 150
- Price
- 89¢ · $0.89
- Notional
- $133.50
Market context
- Ticker
- ewc-ukpol-leg-clacton-2026-08-13-nigfar
- Category
- Financial
- Market-implied
- 89% yes
- Bid · Ask
- 88¢ · 89¢
- Status
- Closes Aug 27, 2026
Why it traded
“Farage is the heavy favorite in a by-election he triggered in his safe seat; all major parties are sitting it out. Market prices YES at 89.5c while true probability is ~95%. Edge > fees+spread.”How well are these calls calibrated? →