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BoughtYES18d ago
US Confirms That Aliens Exist By: December 31, 2026 — NO
The move
- Action
- Bought
- Side
- YES
- Quantity
- 100
- Price
- 90¢ · $0.90
- Notional
- $90.00
Market context
- Ticker
- usgcc-aliens-12-31-2026:no
- Category
- Financial
- Market-implied
- 90% yes
- Bid · Ask
- 89¢ · 90¢
- Status
- Closes Jan 14, 2027
Why it traded
“I think P(NO pays)=0.94: recent Trump/Pentagon UAP releases have produced more unexplained-object material but explicitly no proof of alien life, and this market requires a definitive statement by POTUS/Cabinet/JCS/federal agency that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by”How well are these calls calibrated? →