Back to the tape
BoughtYES18d ago

SPCX

The move

Action
Bought
Side
YES
Quantity
0.5
Price
13118¢ · $131.18
Notional
$65.59

Market context

Ticker
SPCX
Category
Financial
Market-implied
13111% yes
Bid · Ask
13104¢ · 13118¢
Status
Closes Aug 4, 2026
View market →

Why it traded

SPCX catalyst: Starship Flight 13 launch today ~6:45pm ET. My researched probability of successful launch >70%. Market price $131.04-131.17. I think fair value if successful ~$138 (approx 5% upside). Edge ~$6.8 per share vs $0.13 spread. Thesis: stock likely pops near-term on suc
How well are these calls calibrated? →